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中央定调坚决遏制房价上涨 地产精英预判楼市未来走势
更新时间:2018-08-03    点击量:    作者:qunhe

体球网7YUE31RI,ZHONGGONGZHONGYANGZHENGZHIJUZHAOKAIHUIYI,QIANGDIAO“JIANJUEEZHIFANGJIASHANGZHANG”,YINQILEFANGQIDEGAODUGUANZHU。

体球网ZAI8YUE1RIKAIMUDE2018BOAOFANGDICHANLUNTANSHANG,ZHENDUIZHONGYANGDUIFANGDICHANDEZUIXINDINGDIAO,XIAYINIANFANGDICHANSHICHANGDEBIANHUAYIJIFANGJIAQUSHI,ZHAOSHANGSHEKOU(001979,ZHENGU)、WUKUANGDICHAN(GANGGU00230)、YANGGUANGCHENG(000671,ZHENGU)、XUHUIJITUAN、YUANYANGJITUAN(GANGGU03377)、ZHUJIANGTOUZI、HENGLONGDICHAN(GANGGU00101)DENGDUOJIAFANGQIGAOGUANZAIJIESHOU《MEIRIJINGJIXINWEN》JIZHECAIFANGSHIJUNBIAOSHI,YIRENZHENXUEXIYANDUXIANGGUANZHENGCE,DUIWEILAIYIDUANSHIJIANFANGJIAZOUSHIDETAIDUZONGTIQUYUJINSHEN,BINGBIAOSHICUNZAIFENHUAXIADIEDEKENENG。

观点1 房价稳定预期一旦实现 可能会有下跌压力

WUKUANGDICHANYOUXIANGONGSIDANGWEISHUJI、ZONGJINGLIHEJIANBOBIAOSHI,FANGDICHANXINGYEWEILAIHUIYOUYIGETIANHUABAN,YIGESHIRENKOU,YIGESHIZHENGCE,FANGJIAWENDINGYUQIYIDANSHIXIAN,JIUKENENGHUICHUXIANXIADIEYALI。

体球网SHUODAOZHEIYICIZHONGYANGDUIFANGJIASHANGZHANGDEYANGECUOCI,ZHONGYUANJITUANZHUXIJIANZONGCAISHIYONGQINGZHIYAN,YIZHIFANGJIASHANGZHANGYOUYIDINGNANDU。

ZAITAKANLAI,ZHONGYANGDETAIDUSHIHENMINGQUEDE,DANJIAGESHISHICHANGZUIZHONGYAODEXINXI,XIANZAIZHONGGUODEZUJINHUIBAOLVCAI1.5%~2%,YINWEIDAJIADOUJUEDEFANGJIAHUISHANGSHENG,KEYIMIBUZUJINDIDEWENTI,RUGUOFANGJIABUZHANG,ZUJINHUIBAOLVHUIHUIDAOHELISHUIPING。SHIYONGQINGTONGSHIYUJI,MINGNIANFANGJIAKENENGHUIYOUXIAXINGQUSHI。

DUIYURUJINXINJIANZHUZHAISHOUJIABEIXIANDEWENTI,BAONENGJITUANGAOJIFUZONGCAI、BAONENGDICHANZONGCAIYUYINGZERENWEI,XIANZAIFANGJIADEDINGJIAQUANBUZAIKAIFASHANGLE,YIQIANKAIFASHANGHAIXIWANGYOUYITIANZHENGCEHUIFANGSONG,XIANZAIYIDIANXIANGFADOUMEIYOULE。FANGJIAYINGGAIHUIZOUXIANGPINGWEN,TAPANDUANWEILAIYIXIANCHENGSHIHAINENGDINGZHU,SANSIXIANCHENGSHIHUICHUXIANFENHUA,JIANYITUDI、XIANGMUHAIZAISANSIXIANCHENGSHIDEGANJINMAILE。

体球网ZHIYUMAIJISHEI,YUYINGXIAOZHEZHIYAN,“ZONGYOUYIXIERENBUXIANGXINFANGJIAHUIYOUFENHUAHUOXIADIE。”

观点2 楼市新政收紧的同时 房价会依然平稳http://szzxtz.com/

体球网XUHUIKONGGUZHIXINGDONGSHIJIANZHUXILINZHONGRENWEI,ZAIZHONGGUOCHENGSHIHUAJINCHENGZHONG,FANGDICHANDUIGUOMINJINGJIYIRANYINGXIANGJUDA。CICIZHONGYANGCHUTAIZHENGCEZHIQIAN,70GEDAZHONGCHENGSHIFANGJIADADUOSHISHANGZHANGDE,ZHONGYANGSHIXIWANGZAIYINGDUIWAIBUHUANJINGBIANHUADESHIHOUJINXINGSHIDUDEHUOBIKUANSONGZHENGCE,DANDAOHUOBIKUANSONGDESHIHOU,YOUYOUKENENGJINYIBUCIJIFANGJIASHANGZHANG。

ZHIYUZHENGCEDUIXUHUIDEYINGXIANG,LINZHONGBIAOSHI,DABUFENCHENGSHIDAO2020NIANFANGJIADOUHUIBIJIAOPINGWEN,WEILAITUDISHICHANGYEHUIHUIGUILIXING,KAIFASHANGDEZENGZHANGHUIGUIZHILIANG,CHANPINHUIGUISHENGHUO。

体球网QUANGUORENDADAIBIAO、YUZHOUJITUANDONGSHIJUZHUXILINLONGANRENWEI,ZHEISHILISHISHANGZUIYANDEYIZHIFANGJIACUOCI。FANGDICHANSHIGUANMINSHENG,YOUYOUJINRONGSHUXING,MUQIANGELEIXINGYEZHONGFUZHAIBILIZUIGAODEJIUSHINEIDIDEFANGDICHANYE,XIANGGANGSUOYOUDICHANQIYEDEFUZHAIBILVJIBENSHANGSHIZAI20%DAO30%ZHIJIAN,ERNEIDIFANGQIDEFUZHAILVQUEDADAO70%SHENZHIGENGGAO。

体球网SHISHISHANG,SUIZHEFANGZHUBUCHAO、ZUGOUBINGJUDEFANGZHENZHENGCELUODI,FANGDICHANYIZHUJIANXIANGMINSHENGGONGNENGZHUANBIAN,ERTOUZISHUXINGZHENGBUDUANRUOHUA,WEILAIJIUHUIYIZULINZHUFANGWEIZHU,XINFANGXIAOSHOUZONGLIANGYEHUIXIAJIANG,JIERCUSHIFANGDICHANYEDEXILIEDIAOZHENG。

观点3 调控压力大的城市 房价会出现略降http://szzxtz.com/

体球网QUBIEYUKANDIEFANGJIAYIJIRENWEILOUSHIPINGWENFAZHAN,JINKEDICHANLIANXIZONGCAIFANGMINGFUKANLAI,DIAOKONGYALIDADECHENGSHIFANGJIAHUICHUXIANLVEJIANG,DANZONGQUSHISHIWENZHONGLVESHENG。

YANGGUANGCHENGJITUANZHIXINGFUZONGCAIWUJIANBINZERENWEI,YIDANXIANJIA,GUOQULIANGNIANFANGQIZAIYIXIANCHENGSHIDEGEBIEXIANGMUHUICHUXIANKUISUN,SUOYIKAIFASHANGBUMAI,FANGQIZIJINLIANYEHUICHUXIANWENTI,RONGYIDAOZHIYILIANCHUANHOUXUWENTI。

ZAIRUHEKONGZHIFANGJIASHANGZHANGDEWENTISHANG,ZHAOSHANGJUSHEKOUGONGYEQUKONGGUGUFENYOUXIANGONGSIDANGWEIFUSHUJI、DONGSHI、CHANGWUFUZONGJINGLILIUWEISHUO:“DAJIAXIANZAIKANDAODEFANGJIASHIYIGEPINGJUNJIAGE,BUDAIBIAOMOUYIGELOUPANDEJIAGE,GEDIZHENGFUHUIGENJUSUOZHANGWODEZIYUANQINGKUANGQUZUOYIXIEPINGHENG。”

JIUZAI7YUE31RI,SHENZHENLOUSHIXINZHENGYAOQIUZANTINGQISHIYEDANWEI、SHEHUIZUZHIDENGFARENDANWEIGOUMAIZHUFANGYIJIGEREN、QISHIYEDANWEIHUOSHEHUIZUZHIDENGFARENDANWEIGOUMAIGONGYU5NIANXIANSHOU、ZHUZHAI3NIANXIANSHOUDENGZHUDUOYANGEDEDIAOKONGZHENGCE。

DUICI,LIUWEICHENG,KEYISHUOSHENZHENSHIDIYIGEXIANGYINGZHONGYANGHAOZHAODE,MUDESHIRANGFANGJIABUZHANG。ZAITAKANLAI,WEILAIFANGJIAZHENGTIBUHUISHANGZHANG,DANGEBIECHENGSHI、QUWEIHUIYOUYIXIECHAYI。

体球网“WOMENGENZHAOSHANGJUZAISHENZHENDOUYOUXIANGMU,QISHICONGQUNIANQI,SHENZHENJIUYAOQIUXINPANYUSHOUJIAMEIGEYUEDOUYAOXIAJIANG。”YUANYANGJITUANZHIXINGZONGCAICHENZUYUANSHUO,“JINNIANSHANGBANNIANSANSIXIANCHENGSHIFANGJIAPUBIANSHANGZHANG,CHENGJIAOLIANGDA,CICIZHENGZHIJUHUIYIHOU,HUISHIYIGEQUYUDEPINGJUNJIAGEWENDING,DANDUIZHOUBIANDIQUDEFANGJIABUYIDINGSHIHUAISHI。”

观点4 房地产仍在最好时期 看重一二线发展

ZAIZHUJIANGTOUZIJITUANDONGSHI、CHANGWUFUZONGCAIYANGSANMINGKANLAI,YIERXIANCHENGSHIWEILAISANSINIANDEFAZHANRENGKEYUJIAN。

SHISHISHANG,ZHUJIANGTOUZIDEDICHANYEWUZHANBIBINGBUGAO,YANGSANMINGSHUO,“JINDICHANYEWUKANWOMENSHIGEXIAOQIYE”,DANZHUJIANGTOUZIHAIYOUBIEDECHANYEYIJINGFAZHANDAOCHUANGKOUQI,BUXUYAOZAITOURU,SUOYIWEILAIHUI“SHIDUJUJIAODICHANYEWU”。

ZAICHENGSHIBUJUZHANLVEQUYUFANGMIAN,YANGSANMINGSHUO,MUQIANGONGSIYEZAIBUJUQIANGERXIANCHENGSHI,ZAIZHONGXINCHENGSHIZHOUBIANZHANKAIBUJU,BIRUSHANGHAIZHOUBIANDESUZHOU、NANTONG、NINGBODENGDI,GUANGSHENZHOUBIANDEZHUHAI、ZHONGSHAN、DONGGUAN、ZHAOQINGDENGCHENGSHI,BEIJINGZHOUBIANDEXIONGANXINQU、BAODING,ZHENGZHOU、WUHAN,YIJIDAXINANQUYUDECHENGDOUZHOUBIAN、ZHONGQING、KUNMING、GUIYANGDENGDI。

体球网DUIYUCAOPANJIUGAIXIANGMU,YANGSANMINGBIAOSHI,MUQIANDEJIUGAIXIANGMUZHUYAOJIZHONGZAIYIXIANCHENGSHI,ZAIERXIANCHENGSHIHAISHIYIKUAIJINKUAICHUWEIZHU,YINWEIHENNANKANMINGZHANGZHOUQIDEWEILAISHICHANG,SUOYIJIUGAIZHEIZHONGZHANGZHOUQICAOZUODEXIANGMUFANGZAIYIXIANCHENGSHISHIZUIWENTUODE。”

CIWAI,YANGSANMINGHAISHUO,ZHONGGUODEFANGDICHANSHICHANGBENSHENJIUCUNZAIZHANGZHOUQIDETEDIAN,DANMUQIANYINGGAIHAICHUYUZUIHAODESHIQI,YOUQISHIWEILAI5DAO10NIAN,FANGDICHANXINGYEFAZHANQINGKUANGRENGRANJIAOHAO,YEHUIDUICHENGSHIGENGXIN、“NONGMINSHANGLOU”DEXUQIUJIAODA。

观点5 追求规模的时代已过去 房企应提高自身“基因”

“40NIANLAI,ZHONGGUODEFANGDICHANCONGLINGQIBU,YIXIEQIYEZAICIQIANZHUIQIUGUIMO,DONGBUDONGJIUSHI5000YIYUAN、3000YIYUAN,WANQUANSHIZAILIANGDELINGYULIJINXINGKAOLIANG。BUNENGFOURENZHEIZHONGMOSHIZAISHICHANGZAOQISHIFEICHANGZHONGYAODE,DANSHIZHEIZHONGSHIDAIYIJINGGUOQULE。”HENGLONGJITUAN(GANGGU00010)、HENGLONGDICHANYOUXIANGONGSIDONGSHIZHANGCHENQIZONGBIAOSHI。

体球网YIXIANCHENGSHIGONGDIYOUXIAN,ERXIANCHENGSHIZAINULIQUKUCUN,FEICHANGXIANGXINZHEIZHONGLIANGDEJIAOLIANG、SUDUDEJIAOLIANGSHIGUOQUDESHI,RUGUOKAIFASHANGJINTIANHAISHIBAOCHIZHEIZHONGTAIDU,KONGPAZAIWEILAIBURONGYIZHISHENG。CHENQIZONGSHUO:“DANGFANGQIYOULIANGDESHIHOU,SUDUYEJIUBIANCHENGYIGEDAWENTI。SUDUBUGOU,JUEDUIBIBUGUOBIEDEFANGQI,YAOMEINIANTUICHUNEIMEDALIANGDEHUOZHI,SUDUJIUYAOBIBIERENKUAI。”

BUGUO,“FANGDICHANSHICHANGZONGTIZAIXIANGHAODEFANGXIANGFAZHAN,KEYISHUOXINGYEDECHUNTIANLAILE。”ZAITANJIZIJIDEQIYEDUGUO“HANDONG”HOU,CHENQIZONGZHEIYANGBIAOSHI。

CHENQIZONGBIAOSHI,“DUOYUANHUAJINGYINGSHIYIZHONGTANSUO,DANSHIFANGDICHANDEYUNYINGHEJIANSHESHILIANGGEWANQUANBUTONGDEGAINIAN,XUYAOQIYEJINGYINGZHEWANQUANGAIBIANZIJIDESIWEIMOSHI,RUGUOJIANCHIJIUYOUDEGUANNIAN,KENENGSHIBUHESHIDE。HENDUOFANGQIZAIBUTONGFANGMIANCAIQUCUOSHI,YOUDESHIJIANKANGDICHAN,YOUDESHICHENGSHIYUNYING,ZHEIDOUSHIDUIXINGYEJINXINGDEYOUYITANSUO,DANSHIJUTISHOUXIAORUHE,HAIYAOJIXUGUANCHA。”

CHENQIZONGSHUO,QIYEYAOXIANGHUODEZHIDEFAZHAN,JIUBIXUJIANGZISHENDE“JIYIN”TIGAO,SHIJIYINJUEDINGLEYIGEREN,YEJUEDINGLEYIGEQIYE。XUANZHI、MIANJI、SHEJI、JIANZHU,ZHEISIXIANGSHIFANGDICHANXIANGMUYIKAISHIJIUJUEDINGDE,SHIJIYIN,WUFAGENGGAI,FANGDICHANQIYEZHIDEGAIBIANYINGDANGCONGJIYINZHONGXIAGONGFU。

“JIUXIANGWODEJIYIN,JUEDINGLEWOKENDINGBUNENGZUOYIGEHAODELANQIUYUNDONGYUAN。”TADAQUDAO,“ERWOMENGAIDEFANGZIYAOGUIYIDIAN,DANZHEIYESHIYOUWOMENDEJIYINJUEDINGDE。”http://szzxtz.com/yongtu/225.html


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